Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.866938 2.157649 2.477243 2.854466 3.287374 3.768493 4.343635
2025-03-30 1.508412 1.899228 2.365178 2.960928 3.701778 4.592186 5.743221
2025-04-06 1.217928 1.653470 2.211027 2.975504 3.994963 5.306212 7.119745
2025-04-13 0.949427 1.380135 1.968160 2.826894 4.046254 5.712807 8.161059
2025-04-20 0.821737 1.270163 1.918732 2.920802 4.425535 6.596006 9.959459
2025-04-27 0.735589 1.202470 1.914114 3.071347 4.899256 7.667219 12.167760
2025-05-04 0.648080 1.115991 1.864774 3.141429 5.254342 8.600230 14.285912
2025-05-11 0.569677 1.029867 1.800502 3.173624 5.546875 9.463971 16.397501
2025-05-18 0.485422 0.919136 1.677459 3.086333 5.623326 9.977638 17.987122
2025-05-25 0.406766 0.805012 1.530550 2.933207 5.559254 10.236392 19.158066
2025-06-01 0.361162 0.744811 1.471003 2.927743 5.755185 10.966338 21.245716
2025-06-08 0.315774 0.677614 1.388237 2.865301 5.833172 11.485457 22.998564
2025-06-15 0.299157 0.667399 1.417086 3.030259 6.382625 12.973674 26.823170
2025-06-22 0.277497 0.643198 1.414483 3.131446 6.819020 14.298029 30.497465
2025-06-29 0.250130 0.602076 1.370669 3.139822 7.064559 15.271080 33.582648
2025-07-06 0.213221 0.533144 1.256736 2.979218 6.926569 15.436243 34.997024
2025-07-13 0.199596 0.516761 1.257464 3.075563 7.367095 16.879073 39.341726
2025-07-20 0.191085 0.511449 1.282827 3.232294 7.965098 18.735036 44.827147
2025-07-27 0.178128 0.492768 1.273648 3.304985 8.375484 20.217637 49.639740
2025-08-03 0.164307 0.469529 1.249891 3.338226 8.694742 21.526740 54.202585
2025-08-10 0.145796 0.430521 1.180640 3.246188 8.691245 22.072455 56.998834
2025-08-17 0.126488 0.385923 1.090138 3.085147 8.489122 22.109624 58.540853
2025-08-24 0.115965 0.364781 1.059235 3.079290 8.691040 23.171175 62.789826